Ukraine: Vladimir Putin’s ‘miscalculation’ shatters the dream of a ‘quick victory’ | World | News

The latest defense intelligence update released Tuesday (May 10) states that the Russian invasion plan launched on February 24 was based on “the mistaken assumption that it would meet limited resistance” and would be capable of to quickly gain control of Ukraine.

This “miscalculation” has resulted in heavy losses in both military equipment and personnel and a “reduction in Russia’s operational focus” as Moscow struggles to make a profit on the ground.

The Defense Ministry update read: “Russia’s underestimation of the Ukrainian resistance and its ‘best case scenario’ planning led to demonstrable operational flaws that prevented President Putin from announcing significant military success in Ukraine at the Victory Day parade of Ukraine. The 9th of May.

“It is very likely that Russia’s invasion plan is based on the mistaken assumption that it would meet limited resistance and be able to quickly encircle and bypass population centers.

“This assumption led the Russian forces to attempt to conduct the opening phase of the operation with a light, accurate approach intended to achieve a quick victory with minimal cost.

“This miscalculation led to unsustainable losses and a subsequent reduction in Russia’s operational focus.”

The update comes after President Putin celebrated Victory Day in Moscow’s Red Square on Monday.

Western governments last month alleged that the Russian leader was pressuring generals to win the war in Ukraine before May 9 so that he could use the opportunity to announce a victory.

There were also concerns that, as Russian troops struggle to make a profit on the battlefield, Putin could use the opportunity to declare all-out war, which would entail the massive mobilization of Russian civilians.

The Russian prime minister did neither, however, instead using his speech to blame the West for the conflict in Ukraine and praise Moscow’s troops as “heroes” for fighting what he called the “Nazi” enemies that their ancestors had fought in Stalingrad.

British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said on Monday that Putin and his inner circle of generals “reflect now the fascism and tyranny of 77 years ago, repeat the mistakes of the totalitarian regime of the last century” and “the same disregard for human life.” ” to show. †

He said: “For Putin there can be no ‘Victory Day’, only dishonor and certainly defeat in Ukraine.”

According to Western intelligence, the Russian leader believed he would be able to quickly seize power in Ukraine and overthrow President Volodymyr Zelensky’s government with ease.

Moscow’s troops, however, encountered strong resistance from Ukrainian troops, supported by military aid from Western countries.

Moscow’s troops were forced to withdraw from areas around the capital Kiev last month after being unable to make a profit due to strong resistance from the Ukrainian army.

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Russia stepped up its attack on eastern Ukraine last month after Moscow troops withdrew from areas around the capital Kiev in early April, revealing a trail of destruction in their wake, with hundreds of civilian bodies found in mass graves.

Moscow has concentrated its invasion on the Donbas, the old industrial heart of Ukraine, including Luhansk and Donetsk, which have been under heavy fire for weeks.

Thousands of civilians have been evacuated from the besieged city of Mariupol, where Ukrainian soldiers continue to defend the Azovstal steel plant from Russian attacks.

Russian forces have also launched attacks on the southern city of Odessa in recent days, with hypersonic missiles hitting two hotels and a shopping center on Monday.

Despite the escalation of attacks on southern and eastern Ukraine, Russia is reportedly still struggling to make a profit in the country.

In a defense intelligence update released on May 8, the Defense Ministry said Moscow had deployed senior commanders to the battlefield to support the floundering invasion, but had resulted in “disproportionate losses” of Russian officers. when it hadn’t helped the Russian war effort.

The update read: “Difficulties in command and control, as well as faltering Russian frontline performance, have drawn senior commanders onto the battlefield, likely to assume personal leadership of operations.

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“Russian commanders rarely delegate operational powers to their subordinates, who in turn do not gain essential leadership experience.

“However, it is not clear that the presence of these commanders on the battlefield has resulted in a refined or modified operational concept. Incorrect planning assumptions and conservation failures continue to undermine Russian progress.

“The forward deployment of commanders has exposed them to significant risks, leading to disproportionate losses of Russian officers in this conflict. This has resulted in a force that is slow to respond to adversity and unable to change its approach to the battlefield.

“These problems are likely to persist given the relative lack of operational command experience of the promoted officers rather than the dead.”

According to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, an estimated 12 Russian generals have been killed since the invasion began in February, according to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry.

Ukraine has claimed 22,800 Russian soldiers have been killed, while the British government has estimated the death toll at 15,000.

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