The rules are from covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
CLEVELAND -4.5 over Pittsburgh
If these weren’t curtains for Mitchell Trubisky with a few extra days for Kenny Pickett to prepare, then his days are certainly numbered.
Baltimore -2.5 over NEW ENGLAND
The Ravens blew it against the Dolphins last week and need to bounce back quickly with a team that has a good history against it on tap. Lamar Jackson did everything he could, but it was the defense that let him down. The Pats don’t have the weapons to exploit Baltimore like Miami did last week.
Buffalo -6 over MIAMIA
There’s been a lot of buzz around both teams after an impressive start to the season, but it’s hard to overlook the Fish Bills’ dominance in recent years. Buffalo’s defense will be put to the test, but should endure. Miami also has a Thursday night trip to Cincinnati to look forward to.
NEW YORK JETS +5 over Cincinnati
The Bengals may have upgraded the O-line, but it’s still not helping. Joe Burrow remains under constant pressure and the attack hasn’t quite found its way. The Jets are sure to take a nosedive soon, but Joe Flacco has been a surprisingly steady hand.
CAROLINA +3 over New Orleans
Jameis Winston looked like a QB who played through four back fractures against the Bucs and missed starting RB Alvin Kamara very much. The Panthers got Christian McCaffrey rolling last week and will try to continue that trend. Domestic dogs have a great ATS record this season, so we’ll be collecting the points.
Detroit +6 over MINNESOTA
The Lions’ attack is rolling thanks to an offensive line that has really hooted. While the Vikings must recover Monday night from a rough outing – especially at home – Detroit has shown that under Dan Campbell it is able to keep things close and hidden.
Kansas City -6.5 above INDIANAPOLIS
If there’s one coach the Chiefs have had over the years, it’s Gus Bradley – and guess who Indy’s defensive coordinator is. KC continues to be a powerhouse in September as the Colts have struggled out of the gate. This can get ugly.
Las Vegas -2 over TENNESSEE
Derrick Henry is finally starting to show the wear and tear of being a workhorse RB and without gobbling up yards on the ground, the Titans’ onslaught just can’t thrive. The loss of Taylor Lewan won’t help either and the defense will struggle to keep Davante Adams in check.
Philadelphia -6.5 over WASHINGTON
Is Carson Wentz back to his old form from his Philly days, when he was an MVP candidate? Probably not and it hasn’t really been tested. The Eagles attack could take over this game and it’s almost certain that their fans could take over Washington’s home field advantage.
Houston +2.5 over CHICAGO
Two bad teams meet here, both in the middle of a rebuild. There are few bright spots on either side, but the Texans have done well against a number of alleged playoff candidates.
CHARGERS -7 over Jacksonville
The upstart Jags have taken many by surprise so far this season – it certainly helps to have a real grown-up head on. But there are too many benefits for the charged Chargers here, including the extra rest they’ve had since playing last Thursday.
Green Bay +1 above TAMPA BAY
The Bucs are having a great time at WR and losing Mike Evans to suspension doesn’t help. They will have to run the ball against a good defense from Packers, not an easy task. It won’t be easy for Aaron Rodgers and Co. either, but we’ll support him here.
Atlanta +1 over SEATTLE
The Falcons stayed in the west after a close game against the Rams and now face a Seahawks team that has already won the Super Bowl. The Seahawks struggled mightily against the 49ers, while the Falcons certainly seem like a feisty dog.
ARIZONA +3.5 on LA Rams
Did the Cards find their way against the Raiders late last week? The Rams were blown out in the opener, then almost coughed it up against the Falcons. With such volatile teams involved, taking the house dog seems like the safer option.
San Francisco +1.5 above DENVER
The Broncos have been a disaster in game management under Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson hasn’t exactly picked it up either. While there is the old Mile High advantage to consider, the Niners defense should be able to limit the Broncos run game led by Javonte Williams.
Dallas +1 on NEW YORK GIANTS
The Cowboys defense doesn’t seem to have fallen off since last season, although the offense is clearly of concern. But in a match-up between Cooper Rush and Daniel Jones, is there really much of an advantage taking the hosts here?
Last week: 7-9
This season: 15-17
Thirty Thirties on Thursday — Week 3 Edition
NFL WEEK 3 PICKS: Drama anyone? Half of the matches in week 3 have a spread of a field goal or less
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