Distribution sources say there’s a chance Paramount/Skydance’s Top Gun: Maverick could top the box office this weekend in its fifth session with $32 million, down 28% week over week.
This will easily send the Tom Cruise movie past the half-billion mark at the domestic box office; the picture is already the actor’s highest grossing of all time with over $900 million worldwide. Top Gun 2 continued to lead ticket presale in the US today, I’ve heard.
Should Top Gun 2 fly in at $30M+, it will rise above Warner Bros’ $85M Baz Luhrmann-directed Elviswho keeps an eye $20M-plusand Universal/Blumhouse’s $16 million Scott Derrickson-directed R-rated horror film the black phone, what is spotting? $15M†$20M†
Mixed we have the third weekend of Jurassic World Dominionlooking around $29M51% off, and Disney/Pixar’s second weekend light year, which is also expected to fall 51% at $25M†
The good news in all of this is the depth and diversity of items and products at the checkout; there’s the possibility that five movies could make more than $20 million each. It’s another great sign to show that going to the movies is still the most affordable form of entertainment, even in an economy driven by inflation. NRG also reported this week that 88% of all moviegoers feel very or somewhat comfortable going to movie theaters, the highest score in the Covid era. Comscore rang in at $165 million for all ticket sales in the US and Canada last weekend, up 21% from the same period in 2019. That remains the barometer year that continues to determine when we’ll fully recover from the pandemic box office blues.
elvis, despite a great world premiere reception from Cannes with the film festival’s longest standing ovation, he faces an uphill battle. There is a disconnect between clear interest and total awareness and unaided awareness for the film, I understand that. The film is older-skewed and long at 2 hours 39 minutes. Think of the fact that someone 50 years old was 5 when Elvis Presley died.
Should Elvis open to the north of $20 million in 3,900 theaters, it would be arguably the largest opening for an adult demo release of that maturity during the pandemic (House of Gucci was 2 hours 38 minutes and debuted on a three-day total of $14.4 million). Among non-franchise wide entries targeting adults, the lost city, opening at $30.4 million, is the best we’ve seen during the pandemic. Are the die-hard Elvis fans coming out? The 60+ crowd was hard to find during the pandemic. You could say they came out and they are going to Top Gun 2. Elvis is at 83% certified fresh, higher than Lurhmann’s previous 2013 feature The Great Gatsby (48% Rotten) which debuted at $50M.
Some see a $30 million opening for elvis. Even by Tom Hanks’ opening standards for his non-franchise adult movies, that’s huge, and would top that with start as tarnish ($35 million), Saving Private Ryan ($31 million) and catch me if you can ($30 million), and in anticipation of the actor’s recent films A beautiful day in the neighborhood ($13.2 million) and Captain Phillips ($25.7 million).
Fever and AMC offered a special promo for $10.99 tickets for Elvis† Warner Bros has been promoting this film non-stop since Cannes, including a Graceland premiere, has full support from the Presley family, and has offered fantastic late-night performances from Austin Butler, who plays Elvis sublimely on screen… and beyond.
Watch Butler teach Fallon to dance like the King of Rock n’ Roll:
There was an early access fan event for Elvis last night in selected cities. Thursday previews begin at 5:00 PM at 3,200 locations. The photo will play in PLF, Dolby, Screen X, motion seats and drive-ins, while light year sucks up all Imax rooms.
The black phone hopes to snag the 17-34 crowd. The picture is 85% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, which is healthy for a Blumhouse horror movie on the critic aggregator’s site. Ethan Hawke plays a masked man who kidnaps young children in the basement of his house. That is, until he kidnaps the wrong kid who receives clues from the killer’s previous victims on a disconnected phone. The last major Blumhouse opening in recent memory with an R rating and focused on this teen demo was the pre-pandemic mom, which debuted at $18 million in May 2019. That was only 56% Rotten. black phone‘s screenplay is by Derrickson and C. Robert Cargill (Doctor Strange†Sinister franchise), based on the award-winning short story by Joe Hill from hisNew York Timesbestseller Ghosts of the 20th Century.
Juneteenth Monday saw the top 10 movies by Box Office Mojo grossing $24.8 million, making it the second biggest Monday of the summer to date (since early May) after Memorial Day, where the top 10 movies grossed of $45.5 million.
During the four-day holiday weekend, Jurassic World Dominion led with $67.7 million. The Universal/Amblin film topped all titles on Tuesday with $7.1 million, bringing the total to $266 million.
Top Gun 2 was the second Tuesday with $5.99 million and a running total of $480.7 million. The photo posted a $52.55 million four-day vacation.
light year posted a total of $57.1 million in four days. It did $5.86 million on Tuesday and was in third place, with a running total of $63 million.