CAQ for majority despite growing voter dissatisfaction: poll

Quebec Liberals and Conservatives in a dead heat for second place, Angus-Reid suggests.

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Nearly three in four Quebecers think the government of François Legault’s coalition Avenir Québec has done a poor or very poor job on health care, affordable housing, senior care and the cost of living – but that doesn’t stop the CAQ from still to win a majority this year in October, a new poll suggests.

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Angus-Reid’s online survey of 1,211 Quebec adults, conducted June 7-13, also suggests that the Quebec Liberal Party and the Quebec Conservative Party rank second, well behind the CAQ.

CAQ for majority despite growing voter dissatisfaction: poll

Legault’s CAQ received 35 percent support from voters, compared with 19 percent for the Conservatives, 18 percent for the Liberals, 14 percent for Québec Solidaire and 10 percent for the Parti Québécois. In the 2018 general election, the CAQ took 37.4 percent of the vote to secure 74 seats.

While Legault’s party fares poorly with voters ages 18-34 (13 percent), its foundation comes from voters 55 and older, with 48 percent among those in that demographic.

The CAQ leads in every region of Quebec except the metropolis of Montreal, where it is 25 percent, nine percentage points behind the liberals.

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Legault’s party faces a growing threat in the Quebec City region, where the CAQ gauges 36 percent, just two points ahead of the conservatives.

While support for the Liberals among Anglophone voters appears to have risen from previous surveys at 61 percent, it falls to just six percent among Francophone voters, compared with 43 percent support for the CAQ.

The survey found that most respondents (52 percent) think the Legault government is doing a good or very good job when it comes to the economy. However, that satisfaction evaporates when it comes to the five topics respondents consider to be most important to them.

A total of 75 percent think the government has done a poor or very bad job on affordable housing, while 73 percent think the same about the CAQ’s performance in senior care.

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The government is rated unsatisfactory for health care, with 70 percent saying it has done a poor or very poor job in this area.

Respondents are dissatisfied with the government’s track record on inflation and cost of living (69 percent), as well as the environment and climate change (59 percent).

While no margin of error can be attributed to this online survey, a random survey of a sample of this size would have a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

CAQ for majority despite growing voter dissatisfaction: poll

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